21st Screen Actors Guild Predictions

Meant to post this right after the Oscar nominees were announced, but I got tied up and forgot to upload it.

The SAG Awards are a terrific predictor for the Academy Awards. Unlike the Golden Globes, this ceremony doesn’t break up the film categories into drama and musical/comedy. There are five nominees in each category (occasionally six on a rare occurrence). While there is no “best film” there is a Best Ensemble category, which can help as a predictor for the Best Picture Oscar.

The SAGs air Sunday January 25 on both TNT and TBS.

Film

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

• Steve Carell – Foxcatcher as John Eleuthère du Pont
• Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game as Alan Turing
• Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler as Louis Bloom
• Michael Keaton – Birdman as Riggan Thomson
• Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything as Stephen Hawking

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

• Jennifer Aniston – Cake as Claire Simmons
• Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything as Jane Wilde Hawking
• Julianne Moore – Still Alice as Dr. Alice Howland
• Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl as Amy Elliott-Dunne
• Reese Witherspoon – Wild as Cheryl Strayed

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

• Robert Duvall – The Judge as Judge Joseph Palmer
• Ethan Hawke – Boyhood as Mason Evans, Sr.
• Edward Norton – Birdman as Mike Shiner
• Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher as Dave Schultz
• J. K. Simmons – Whiplash as Terence Fletcher

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

• Patricia Arquette – Boyhood as Olivia Evans
• Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game as Joan Clarke
• Emma Stone – Birdman as Sam Thomson
• Meryl Streep – Into the Woods as The Witch
• Naomi Watts – St. Vincent as Daka Paramova

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

• Birdman 
• Boyhood 
• The Grand Budapest Hotel
• The Imitation Game
• The Theory of Everything

Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

• Fury
• Get on Up
• The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
• Unbroken
• X-Men: Days of Future Past

And now for the television side of the coin.

Television

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Miniseries or Television Movie

• Adrien Brody – Houdini as Harry Houdini
• Benedict Cumberbatch – Sherlock: “His Last Vow” as Sherlock Holmes
• Richard Jenkins – Olive Kitteridge as Henry Kitteridge
• Mark Ruffalo – The Normal Heart as Ned Weeks
• Billy Bob Thornton – Fargo as Lorne Malvo

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Miniseries or Television Movie

• Ellen Burstyn – Flowers in the Attic as Olivia Foxworth
• Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Honourable Woman as Nessa Stein, Baroness Stein of Tilbury
• Frances McDormand – Olive Kitteridge as Olive Kitteridge
• Julia Roberts – The Normal Heart as Dr. Emma Brookner
• Cicely Tyson – The Trip to Bountiful as Mrs. Carrie Watts

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

• Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire as Nucky Thompson
• Peter Dinklage – Game of Thrones as Tyrion Lannister
• Woody Harrelson – True Detective as Martin Hart
• Matthew McConaughey – True Detective as Rustin Cohle
• Kevin Spacey – House of Cards as Francis Underwood

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

• Claire Danes – Homeland as Carrie Mathison
• Viola Davis – How to Get Away with Murder as Annalise Keating
• Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife as Alicia Florrick
• Tatiana Maslany – Orphan Black as Various
• Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey as Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham
• Robin Wright – House of Cards as Claire Underwood

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

• Ty Burrell – Modern Family as Phil Dunphy
• Louis C.K. – Louie as Louie
• William H. Macy – Shameless as Frank Gallagher
• Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory as Dr. Sheldon Cooper
• Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family as Cameron Tucker

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

• Uzo Aduba – Orange Is the New Black as Suzanne “Crazy Eyes” Warren
• Julie Bowen – Modern Family as Claire Dunphy
• Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie as Jackie Peyton
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep as Selina Meyer
• Amy Poehler – Parks and Recreation as Leslie Knope

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

• Boardwalk Empire 
• Downton Abbey 
• Game of Thrones 
• Homeland 
• House of Cards 

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

• The Big Bang Theory 
• Brooklyn Nine-Nine 
• Modern Family 
• Orange Is the New Black 
• Veep 

Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy Series

• 24: Live Another Day
• Boardwalk Empire
• Game of Thrones
• Homeland
• Sons of Anarchy
• The Walking Dead