Gut reaction picks: 73rd Annual Golden Globe Awards

The 73rd Annual Golden Globe Award nominations were announced today. Here are my gut reaction picks for the major awards.

Golden Globes

So I haven’t seen all of the “award type” films yet. That’s the price I pay for living in a mid-level film release city. I’ll see them all eventually, but for now, I’ll pick based off of what I know.

Best Picture, Drama
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
My favorite (so far): Spotlight was such a tightly produced film that I’d have to give it to the newspaper drama.
Probably winner: If not Spotlight, it might go to The Revenant. Directed by last year’s Oscar winner for Best Director and starring Globe (but not Oscar) favorite Leonardo DiCaprio. This seems like a tight race.

Best Picture, Comedy or Musical
The Big Short
The Martian
My favorite (so far): Surprisingly… The Martian. It had everything I wanted in a film even though I knew the outcome the entire way.
Probably winner: Most likely Joy. But I’m glad to see award-bait worthy film The Big Short jumping in here.

Best Director

Todd Haynes, Carol
Alejandro Innaritu, The Revenant
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott, The Martian
My favorite (so far): Is it bad if I just want to say the same thing about Spotlight and The Revenant as I did earlier?
Probably winner: Instead of the two I already mentioned, I think Mad Max is going to spoil here.

Best Actor, Drama
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Will Smith, Concussion
My favorite (so far): This is actually an interesting race. Character study Steve Jobs had the phenomenal Fassbender in it. Golden boy DiCaprio has been getting a lot of love. Redmayne is hot off wins last year and looks to continue his streak. I’ll go with Leo.
Probably winner: 
Any of the three I just mentioned. Note: no Spotlight.

Best Actress, Drama
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Rooney Mara, Carol
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
My favorite (so far): Brie Larson in Room was breathtaking. Has to be her.
Probably winner: 
Blanchett over her costar in a tight race.

Best Actor, Comedy

Christian Bale, The Big Short
Steve Carell, The Big Short
Matt Damon, The Martian
Al Pacino, Danny Collins
Mark Ruffalo, Infinitely Polar Bear
My favorite (so far): Matt Damon was terrific in The Martian.
Probably winner: 
I’m going to stick to my guns and go with Damon. 

Best Actress, Comedy
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Melissa McCarthy, Spy
Amy Schumer, Trainwreck
Maggie Smith, The Lady in the Van
Lily Tomlin, Grandma
My favorite (so far): I’d like to see a newcomer get this. Newcomer to awards anyway. I’ll give it to Schumer.
Probable winner: Awards love Lawrence.

Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano, Love & Mercy
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Michael Shannon, 99 Homes
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
My favorite (so far): Paul Dano was tremendous.
Probable winner: This is a toss up for me. Probably going to Elba or Shannon.

Best Supporting Actress
Jane Fonda, Youth
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Helen Mirren, Trumbo
Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
My favorite (so far): I loved Winslet since the day I was born.
Probable winner: Vikander or JJL.

Best Screenplay
Emma Donoghue, Room
Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, Spotlight
Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, The Big Short
Aaron Sorkin, Jobs
Quentin Tarantino, The Hateful Eight
My favorite (so far): It’s no secret that I loved, loved, loved Spotlight.
Probable winner: Sorkin’s screenplay was very intruiging. I’m sure Tarantino’s is just as batshit as always.


Best Animated Feature Film
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie
My favorite (so far): Charlie Kauffman is one of those directors who knows how to do everything.
Probable winner: Probably Pixar.


Best TV Series, Drama

Game of Thrones
Mr. Robot
My favorite: Out of this list? Mr. Robot by far.
Probable winner: Empire has a lot of steam behind it.

Best TV Series, Comedy/Musical
Mozart in the Jungle
Orange is the New Black
Silicon Valley
My favorite: Picking between Transparent and Veep is the closest I’ll get to knowing what it feels like when a parent is asked to pick a favorite child.
Probable winner: Something silly. Casual.

Best TV Miniseries or Movie
American Crime
American Horror Story: Hotel
Flesh and Bone
Wolf Hall
My favorite: Fargo, you bet’cha.
Probable winner: Copy/paste.

Best Actor, Drama
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
Wagner Moura, Narcos
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Liev Schrieber, Ray Donovan
My favorite: Rami Malek was stellar as a paranoid hacker. Haven’t seen something like him on television in a while.
Probable winner: 
Hamm might get one final hurrah. Or Schrieber because Globes love Showtime.

Best Actress, Drama
Caitriona Balfe, Outlander
Viola Davis, How to Get Away With Murder
Eva Green, Penny Dreadful
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Robin Wright, House of Cards
My favorite: I really love watching Ms. Viola yell at her murderous college students week after week.
Probable winner: 
Taraji P. Henson for the same reasons Viola Davis won Emmy.

Best Actor, Comedy
Aziz Ansari, Master of None
Gael Garcia Bernal, Mozart in the Jungle
Rob Lowe, The Grinder
Patrick Stewart, Blunt Talk
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent
My favorite: Tambor is my hands down favorite. It would be nice to see Ansari take home this prize though.
Probable winner: 
Globes are notorious for giving this award to an actor in a lackluster show. Cheers, Rob Lowe.

Best Actress, Comedy
Rachel Bloom, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Jamie Lee Curtis, Scream Queens
Julia Louis-Dreyfus,Veep
Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie
My favorite: Hail to my Queen Julia.
Probable winner: 
I honestly don’t watch a lot of these shows… Rodriguez won last year, but I think a newcomer is winning this year.

Best Supporting Actor
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Damian Lewis, Wolf Hall
Tobias Menzies, Outlander
Ben Mendelsohn, Bloodline
Christian Slater, Mr. Robot
My favorite: I think slater will ride the Mr. Robot train to a win here.
Probable winner: 
Cumming or Lewis always give a strong performance.

Best Supporting Actress
Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey
Regina King American Crime
Judith Light, Transparent
Maura Tierney, The Affair
My favorite: Crazy Eyes.
Probable winner: 
Crazy Eyes.

Best Actor, Mini-Series or TV Movie
Idris Elba, Luther
Oscar Isaac, Show Me A Hero
David Oyelowo, Nightingale
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall
Patrick Wilson, Fargo
My favorite: Oscar Isaac gave an extremely nuanced performance.
Probable winner: 
Elba deserves something eventually for this role.

Best Actress, Mini-Series or TV Movie
Kirsten Dunst, Fargo
Lady Gaga, American Horror Story: Hotel
Sarah Hay, Flesh and Bone
Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Queen Latifah, Bessie
My favorite: Dunst was a standout in a perfect season from Fargo.
Probable winner: 
Huffman. Just a hunch.

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